Lithuania vs Netherlands: prediction & betting odds 7 September 2025

The Matchday 6 qualifier for the 2026 FIFA World Cup between Lithuania and the Netherlands will take place on September 7 at the Darius and Girėnas Stadium in Kaunas. Lithuania vs. Netherlands: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Lithuania

After four matches in the current World Cup qualifying campaign, the national team is in 4th place, trailing the top three by 4 points. So far, Lithuania has not registered a victory but has only lost once. The team has drawn three times, including a 1-1 draw at home against Malta in the last round.

• The team has lost 14 of their last 19 World Cup qualifiers (1 win and 4 draws).
• No more than two goals have been scored in 4 of Lithuania's last 5 matches in this tournament.
• Lithuania has only won once in their last 9 home World Cup qualifiers.

Predicted lineup for Lithuania (5-4-1)

Edvinas Gertmonas – Edgaras Utkus, Justas Lasickas, Artemijus Tutyskinas, Edvinas Girdvainis, Klaudijus Upstas – Artur Dolzhnikov, Gvidas Gineitis, Gratas Sirgedas, Modestas Vorobjovas – Gytis Paulauskas.

Defenders Artemijus Tutyskinas and Edgaras Utkus will miss the match due to suspensions.

Netherlands

Ronald Koeman's side tops Group G. The team has the same number of points as Poland and Finland (7 each) but has played one game less. In the last round, the Dutch hosted Poland and unexpectedly drew 1-1. Notably, the Netherlands' unbeaten run in World Cup qualifiers has extended to 12 matches, with 9 wins and 3 draws.

• The Netherlands have kept clean sheets in 5 of their last 7 World Cup qualifiers.
• The team is unbeaten in their last 5 away matches in this tournament – 3 wins and 2 draws.
• The team has not scored more than 2 goals in 7 of their last 9 away World Cup qualifiers.

Predicted lineup for the Netherlands (4-4-2)

Bart Verbruggen – Virgil van Dijk, Denzel Dumfries, Micky van de Ven, Jan Paul van Hecke – Ryan Gravenberch, Tijjani Reijnders, Frenkie de Jong, Xavi Simons – Cody Gakpo, Memphis Depay.

Referee

Elchin Masiyev (Azerbaijan)

Matches – 5 (International matches, 2024–2025);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 24;

Average yellow cards per match – 4.8;

Red cards shown – 0;

Average fouls per match – 27;

Penalties – 20%.

Lithuania vs. Netherlands: Match Prediction

The visitors are clear favorites in the upcoming match. However, the hosts have a good chance of at least avoiding a heavy defeat. In this qualifying campaign, Lithuania has only suffered one loss in four matches, and that was a narrow 0-1 defeat. Lithuania has also avoided heavy losses in 13 of their last 16 home World Cup qualifiers.

The Dutch do not often win by large margins, and when they do, it is usually against the weaker European teams. In their last 14 away World Cup qualifiers, the Netherlands has only one big win, and that was against Gibraltar. Therefore, considering the recent performances of both teams, it's worth considering a bet on the hosts, where they might lose by a small margin.

My prediction: Lithuania with a handicap (+2.5)